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Bitcoin Realized Profit/Loss Ratio Repeating 2024 Structure — What Happened Last Time?

n70products by n70products
April 25, 2025
in Bitcoin
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Bitcoin Realized Profit/Loss Ratio Repeating 2024 Structure — What Happened Last Time?
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The value of Bitcoin has been fairly bubbly over this weekend, surpassing the $85,000 mark on Saturday, April 19. This optimistic single-day efficiency caps off what has been a comparatively secure previous seven days of worth motion for the premier cryptocurrency.

Nonetheless, the price of BTC remains to be far beneath the cycle highs, with the market chief at the moment greater than 21% away from its all-time excessive. With the Bitcoin worth caught in a broader consolidation vary, traders seem like shedding endurance with the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

Are Bitcoin Buyers Promoting Once more?

Of their newest publish on the X platform, on-chain analyst with the pseudonym Darkfost revealed that a number of BTC traders have resumed offloading their property at a loss. The related indicator right here is the Bitcoin Each day Realized Revenue Loss Ratio, which estimates whether or not extra traders are promoting at a revenue or a loss.

This revenue/loss ratio is calculated by dividing the full realized earnings by the full realized losses over a selected interval. When the metric is above 1, it implies that extra traders are promoting in a revenue than at a loss. In the meantime, a less-than-one worth for the indicator means that extra traders are chopping their losses.

Bitcoin

Supply: @Darkfost_Coc on X

As proven within the chart above, the Bitcoin Each day Realized Revenue Loss Ratio has been above 1 for a number of previous weeks. Nonetheless, the metric not too long ago fell — for the second time in 2025 — beneath the important thing threshold, signaling that almost all of traders are realizing their losses.

In line with Darkfost, the present stage of the indicator is but to point full-scale market capitulation, however quite a phase of uncertainty and doubtlessly accumulation. The on-chain analyst additionally talked about that the metric’s present format is much like the construction seen in late 2024.

Darkfost, nonetheless, famous that this doesn’t essentially imply that the premier cryptocurrency will witness the identical consequence from this example. When the Bitcoin Each day Realized Revenue Loss Ratio fell to this stage in 2024, the BTC worth launched into a worth rally above the $100,000 stage.

Darkfost added:

We will additionally observe that at any time when the ratio reached the +4 STDV deviation from the 365DMA, an area market prime constantly fashioned, adopted by a short-term correction throughout bull section.

The on-chain analyst concluded that, given the excessive stage of uncertainty within the crypto market in latest weeks, the extra seemingly consequence from this example is a capitulation section, the place realized losses will proceed to climb.

Bitcoin Value At A Look

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at round $85,300, reflecting a 0.8% enhance prior to now 24 hours.

Bitcoin
The value of BTC on the day by day timeframe | Supply: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Featured picture from iStock, chart from TradingView

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