Opinion by: Joshua Chu, co-chair of the Hong Kong Web3 Affiliation
Final week’s announcement of Hong Kong’s LEAP Digital Belongings Coverage Assertion 2.0 was made with a lot anticipation and fanfare. The federal government of Hong Kong promised a complete regulatory framework that may unify licensing and “develop the suite of tokenised merchandise.”
But beneath the hype and visual maneuvers lies a much more consequential transfer: Beijing’s (the world’s second largest holder of crypto) announcement of its intention to liquidate confiscated digital currencies by Hong Kong’s licensed exchanges. These occasions, whereas seemingly separate, are literally elements of a fastidiously orchestrated technique by China, designed to place Hong Kong because the dominant digital asset hub and China’s strategic market operator.
A technique of convergence: Hong Kong is poised to change into the area’s digital asset hub. Nonetheless, it is going to additionally function the linchpin of China’s international ambitions: a crypto hedge, a market worth car and a ahead command put up for PRC-crypto-liquidity.
Regulatory foundations
On the floor, Hong Kong’s LEAP coverage seems to be all of the headlines. A correct understanding of technique, nonetheless, calls for wanting past the floor. The true energy of those coverage selections lies within the liquidity injection that China’s crypto-liquidation resolution will invariably create. This instrument will concurrently grant Hong Kong unprecedented affect over international digital asset markets.
The inspiration of Hong Kong’s regulatory framework may be traced again to 2022 with the passage of the Modification of the Anti-Cash Laundering and Counter-Terrorist Financing Ordinance (AMLO), which, after the Securities and Futures Fee had the chance to realize adequate expertise beneath the earlier opt-in regime, formally introduced digital asset buying and selling platforms (VATPs) beneath their remit by way of the AMLO necessary licensing regime. This crucial transfer secured alignment with Monetary Motion Activity Power (FATF) standards and have become the primary cornerstone laws for digital property.
The subsequent crucial laws that took place was the Stablecoin Ordinance, set to begin on Aug. 1, 2025, establishing a devoted licensing regime for fiat-referenced stablecoin issuers. The Hong Kong Financial Authority (HKMA) oversees this regime, mandating one-to-one reserves, strong redemption mechanisms and rigorous threat controls.
In June 2025, introducing the LEAP Digital Belongings Coverage Assertion 2.0 additional developed Hong Kong’s framework. LEAP unifies licensing, expands the suite of tokenized merchandise and advances use circumstances of cross-sector collaboration and expertise improvement. Going past FATF-directed regulatory tinkering, LEAP aspires to be the structure that may “scale Hong Kong to new heights of world digital asset management” and sign Hong Kong’s readiness to embrace the way forward for digital property.
Legal guidelines and rules alone can’t, nonetheless, command markets. It’s liquidity that may resolve the day.
China’s resolution to channel confiscated digital property by Hong Kong’s licensed VATP will strategically inject actual, tangible liquidity into the ecosystem. That is not an FATF compliance guidelines train — it’s a strategic lever. Via enabling managed liquidation, Hong Kong stands to change into a market worth car able to quickly modulating provide and demand, one other key driving issue of digital asset worth.
Liquidity as a weapon
Liquidity is the lifeblood of any market. With out liquidity, even essentially the most refined market will falter. Simply take a look at the London Inventory Alternate.
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Underneath China’s grand technique, not like the USA, which holds an unlimited Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and is positioned beneath a inflexible “hold-only” coverage, liquidity injected into Hong Kong’s exchanges will actively convert seized property into market liquidity. This setup will grant Hong Kong — and by extension China — the power to affect worth, stabilize markets and reply to geopolitical pressures because it sees match.
Simply as management of the uncommon earth metals gave China all of the playing cards within the newest rounds of commerce negotiation with the US, so too will management over crypto liquidity, successfully controlling the worth of the US’s newly minted crypto reserve.
This can be a refined, but profound, shift within the steadiness of energy. The flexibility of a single nation to manage liquidity flows is to manage market narratives and outcomes.
Implications and countermeasures
This grand technique essentially alters the steadiness of energy throughout the cryptosphere. Hong Kong can have a decisive benefit in absorbing institutional capital and deepening market liquidity, leveraging its distinctive place because the conduit for the PRC’s crypto liquidation strikes.
On the similar time, by scaling “Hong Kong to new heights of world digital asset management,” China can have a robust geopolitical device in its palms, capable of management international cryptocurrency valuations by calculated market liquidity administration.
In the meantime, the US will face a strategic dilemma: Ought to it proceed with a passive crypto stockpile with restricted or no market affect? Or ought to the US contemplate new mechanisms to counterbalance Hong Kong’s rising management over crypto liquidity?
Understanding the dynamic on this interaction is essential for market individuals, legal professionals, threat practitioners and lawmakers. In any case, compliance frameworks have to be adjusted to deal with elevated scrutiny and dangers related to liquidity-driven market actions. In distinction, threat administration methods anticipating volatility stemming from strategic liquidity flows and a eager understanding of how liquidity management will form the market narratives and outcomes are key.
The important thing to the Web3 markets is due to this fact liquidity and knowledge. Whereas Hong Kong’s LEAP coverage garners all of the media consideration, the true chess transfer lies in China’s crypto liquidation and injection coverage. This injection will flip Hong Kong right into a dynamic market worth car, able to wielding liquidity as a weapon that few jurisdictions can match.
Distinction this with the US, which is constrained by a inflexible “hold-only” reserve coverage, and it lacks the flexibleness to affect market liquidity or reply successfully to cost volatility.
Singapore, which, regardless of a mature regulatory framework, faces limitations in market scale, and Dubai, although formidable, struggles with fragmented regulatory remits and excessive operational prices that hinder speedy scaling. Hong Kong “holds all of the playing cards.” Solely this time, China can also be making all of the liquidity playing cards.
As such, town’s distinctive mixture of mature regulatory framework, direct entry to the world’s second-largest crypto holdings and the power to deploy such liquidity strategically at their discretion grants it an unparalleled excessive floor within the Web3 ecosystem. Hong Kong can modulate international crypto costs in actual time, entice institutional capital and foster innovation inside a steady, investor-friendly setting.
Liquidity is the final word leverage on this contest, and Hong Kong holds the change. Understanding this layered technique is crucial for many who search to navigate the quickly evolving digital asset panorama with readability and foresight. Those that fail will discover themselves outmaneuvered.
Opinion by: Joshua Chu, co-chair of the Hong Kong Web3 Affiliation.
This text is for basic data functions and isn’t meant to be and shouldn’t be taken as authorized or funding recommendation. The views, ideas, and opinions expressed listed below are the writer’s alone and don’t essentially mirror or symbolize the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.