In a thread on X immediately, January 20, Dennis Liu (@VirtualBacon0x), a basic associate at Momentum 6, laid out a daring forecast for Ethereum (ETH), suggesting the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency might attain a worth goal of $14,000 by the tip of 2025. Liu additionally contends that the subsequent six months might be pivotal, highlighting ETH’s potential to “dominate the market” by June.
“Ethereum is about to dominate the market, you don’t need to miss this window,” Liu wrote. “Ethereum has been lagging behind Bitcoin this cycle, however that’s about to alter. I imagine ETH will shine within the subsequent 6 months.”
Why Ethereum Might Outperform The Market
Regardless of ETH’s rising adoption, Liu argues that its underperformance relative to Bitcoin stems from “institutional timing.” In accordance with him: “ETH is institutionally pushed, not like Bitcoin or retail-favored altcoins. ETFs present stability and utility, making ETH superb for institutional buyers.” Liu suggests establishments have been ready for market circumstances to enhance and sees 2025 because the yr when these circumstances lastly align.
Liu additionally factors to the US Federal Reserve’s coverage shifts as a catalyst for ETH’s progress. He notes that since Might 2024, the Fed has been slowing its steadiness sheet reductions, and a potential pivot towards renewed liquidity injections might happen after the January 29 or March 19 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) conferences.
“Since Might 2024, the Fed has slowed steadiness sheet reductions, signaling a pivot. A liquidity increase might observe Jan 29 or Mar 19 FOMC conferences. Why it issues: Fed liquidity pumps traditionally drive ETH/BTC increased.” He concludes that such a transfer by the Fed “means ETH outperformance” may very well be on the horizon.
Citing a decade of market knowledge, Liu claims ETH usually outperforms Bitcoin from January to June, whereas Bitcoin tends to steer from July to December. “From January to June, ETH constantly outperforms Bitcoin. … In the event you’re holding ETH, now till June is traditionally the most effective window for positive factors.”
Liu additionally highlights potential pro-ETH sentiments from the Trump administration, referencing the previous president’s NFT collections and DeFi platform constructed on Ethereum: “His NFT collections and DeFi platform are constructed on Ethereum. Trump’s administration plans to exchange SEC management, revisiting anti-DeFi rulings. Institutional optimism surged after Trump’s election win in Nov 2024, driving ETF inflows.” He concludes that “pro-crypto insurance policies will straight profit Ethereum-focused DeFi.”
Additional emphasizing Ethereum’s institutional power, Liu factors to real-world asset (RWA) tokenization initiatives by main companies like BlackRock and distinguished DeFi platforms comparable to AAVE, MakerDAO, and OriginTrail: “Ethereum isn’t main meme coin or AI tendencies – it’s powering critical institutional progress.”
Liu underscores a notable shift in Ethereum ETF inflows, which turned constructive in November 2024 after a interval of outflows: “ETFs added $6B in internet inflows from Nov to Jan, or 0.76% of ETH provide/month. … Establishments are shopping for extra ETH than BTC month-to-month, signaling rising confidence in Ethereum as an asset.”
Projecting out to 2025, Liu believes ETH might quadruple to $14,000 if Bitcoin doubles to $200,000, citing Ethereum’s historic tendency to outperform Bitcoin by an extra issue of two: “If Bitcoin doubles to $200K, ETH might 4x to $14K, following its historic outperformance (2x on prime of BTC). … Whereas diminishing returns might restrict upside, ETH stays a high-conviction wager for this cycle.”
Summarizing his perspective, Liu stresses {that a} confluence of things—from renewed Fed liquidity to potential pro-DeFi insurance policies—creates a near-term window of alternative for Ethereum: “With ETF inflows rising, the Fed’s potential liquidity injection, Trump’s pro-DeFi stance, and ETH’s seasonal power, all of the catalysts are aligned. … Ethereum’s time to shine is now till June. I’d slightly be overexposed than miss this chance.”
At press time, ETH traded at $106,929.
Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
