New knowledge from the decentralized prediction market Polymarket reveals that Donald Trump is main Kamala Harris in polls after Robert Kennedy Jr. suspended his presidential marketing campaign.
In response to the crypto on line casino, which lets customers wager on the end result of something, Trump now has a 51% probability to win the 2024 presidential election whereas Harris – who took over because the Democratic nominee from Joe Biden final month – noticed her odds dip all the way down to 48%.
“This market will resolve to ‘Sure’ if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. In any other case, this market will resolve to ‘No.’
The decision supply for this market is the Related Press, Fox Information, and NBC. This market will resolve as soon as all three sources name the race for a similar candidate.
If all three sources haven’t known as the race for a similar candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based mostly on who’s inaugurated.”
The information reveals that to date, over $705 million price of bets have been positioned on the election via Polymarket.
RFK Jr., a Democrat who ran as an unbiased, just lately introduced that he can be suspending his marketing campaign after solely polling at 2%. He endorsed Trump.
In July, bettors on Polymarket predicted a few 6 in 10 probability that Biden would maintain on to the remainder of his presidency regardless of dropping out of the race and endorsing Harris.
Weeks earlier, {the marketplace} predicted a 35% probability of Biden dropping out of the race. He dropped out on July twenty first.
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Featured Picture: Shutterstock/Tithi Luadthong
